Watching former Tropical Storm Dorian wax and wane as it moves westward in the Atlantic north of Puerto Rico got me thinking about this Hurricane Season so far.
Earlier this year all the pre-season forecasters were projecting a busier than average season and in one respect they have been on the mark. To date, we’ve had 4 named storms appear in the Tropical Atlantic Basin. That total is above average for late July. Typically we would have seen 2-3 named storms by the end of July. Only 4 of the 12 past seasons (2001, 2002, 2006 and 2011) have produced that many storms by the end of July. As a side note, 5 of the past 12 seasons saw at least one hurricane by the end of July (2003, 2005,2008, 2010 and 2012).