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The Galveston County Daily News : Weather Watch

October 20, 2014

Weather Watch

Monday 10/20/2014
System in Bay of Campeche may contribute to higher tides
Posted: October 20, 2014 - 2:51 pm

A developing system in the Bay of Campeche, a persistent easterly breeze and high pressure ridging in from our northeast, may all contribute to tides running 1-1 ½ feet above normal levels over the next few days. The system (93-L) is associated with a 1007 MB low that is generally expected to track to the east or northeast this week with a 60% chance for developing into a tropical cyclone.

Comments (0)
Thursday 10/16/2014
An “Unofficial” end to our hurricane season?
Posted: October 16, 2014 - 10:45 am

I don’t wish to tempt fate, especially given the quiet hurricane season we’ve had in the Gulf of Mexico and with the strongest hurricane of the 2014 season bearing down on Bermuda, but Friday does bring a key date in the hurricane season for the Galveston County area. Going back 150 years, no hurricane or tropical storm has made landfall on the upper-Texas coast later than October 17.

Comments (0)
Friday 10/10/2014
Strong storms and an active Tropical Atlantic
Posted: October 10, 2014 - 11:55 am

Humid air flowing in off the Gulf of Mexico, a weak cool front in north Texas and an upper-level disturbance will keep unseasonably warm conditions and a chance of rain in our picture through the weekend.

Comments (0)
Monday 10/06/2014
A squall line, a warm spell and looking ahead
Posted: October 06, 2014 - 11:59 am

A squall line moving south and moist, unsettled air moving in from the Gulf of Mexico has prompted a Special Weather statement from the Houston-Galveston NWS as well as a special Marine Warning that includes the northern half of Galveston Bay.

Comments (0)
Monday 09/29/2014
A wet September, a cool front and the hurricane season
Posted: September 29, 2014 - 1:11 pm

Rains over the past few days have guaranteed that Galveston Island and most of the County will have the wettest September since 2008. As of Monday morning, 6.11” of rain had been measured this month at Scholes Field. A very wet 9.18” of precipitation had been totaled for the month at the National Weather Service Office in League City/Dickinson.

Comments (0)
Saturday 09/20/2014
The rainy spell, sunshine and the surf
Posted: September 20, 2014 - 12:34 pm

Galveston County will move out of its best multi-day (3 or more consecutive days with measurable precipitation) since August, 2012. Rainfall amounts over the County varied from 3.88” at Scholes Field in Galveston to 5.19” at the National Weather Service Office in League City and 5.42” in both Friendswood and Texas City.

Comments (1)
Wednesday 09/17/2014
Weather Watch: Heavy rain possibility to persist
Posted: September 17, 2014 - 10:01 am

A combination of moist, unstable air from the Gulf of Mexico and additional moisture coming in from the remnants of former Hurricane Odile to our west, should keep showers and thunderstorms around through the end of the week. Locally heavy rain will be possible in some areas, depending on where the showers and thunderstorms develop and rainfall amounts of 1-3 inches will be possible over all of Galveston County.

Comments (0)
Saturday 09/13/2014
A cool front and a system in the Gulf of Mexico
Posted: September 13, 2014 - 4:44 pm

A cold front slipped off the Texas coast overnight bringing a fresh, autumn breeze to the area. While the front may not pack as much punch as some can in mid-September, it will still bring lower humidity levels and milder temperatures to Galveston County. Lows on Sunday morning are expected to dip into the lower-70’s  and I would not be surprised to see them drop to the 60’s over the northwest part of the County.

Comments (2)
Tuesday 09/09/2014
September is a month of waiting
Posted: September 09, 2014 - 10:45 am

From a climatological point of view, September is a month that finds many of us in Galveston County waiting. We wait for the first “real” cold front of the season, looking for a break from prolonged summer heat. We find ourselves waiting to move beyond the peak of hurricane season (which statistically comes around September 10). We tell ourselves that if we can only make it a few more weeks, we will be out of the woods for another season. And, we find ourselves looking for some respite from the onslaught of mosquitoes, thinking more fondly of the coming winter.

Comments (0)
Tuesday 09/02/2014
Tropical Storm Dolly forms in the Gulf of Mexico, but should remain well south of Texas
Posted: September 02, 2014 - 8:06 am

Not unexpectedly, the National Hurricane Center has upgraded the disturbance in the Bay of Campeche to Tropical Storm Dolly overnight and a Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for Mexico from Tuxpan north to Barra El Mezquital (just south of Brownsville).

Comments (0)
Thursday 08/28/2014
Rains to hang around for awhile
Posted: August 28, 2014 - 11:25 am

The League City/Clear Lake area received heavy rains yesterday, while a downpour measuring nearly 3 inches caused street flooding and the heaviest rain on the Island since October 31, 2013.

Comments (0)
Sunday 08/24/2014
Weather Watch: Looking for relief from the heat
Posted: August 24, 2014 - 4:35 pm

Many people that I know have had enough steamy, August weather for a while and would like a break. This time of year, however, relief usually comes from a spell of increased cloudiness and scattered thundershowers, since late August cold fronts are exceedingly rare.

Comments (0)
Tuesday 08/19/2014
Steamy August weather, a heat advisory and the Tropics
Posted: August 19, 2014 - 1:38 pm

A heat advisory has been issued again today for the counties along the upper-Texas coast.  While the mercury is generally are not expected to rise above the mid-90’s nor  topple any daily high temperature records, a combination of intense August heat and high humidity levels will inhibit vigorous outdoor activities

Comments (4)
Wednesday 08/13/2014
Those “scattered” thunderstorms and CoCoRaHS
Posted: August 13, 2014 - 11:35 am

Sunday, I was on the extreme East End of Galveston. A thunderstorm rumbled off to the southwest, but only a few drops of rain fell at that location. Later as I traveled towards the central part of the city, the streets were flooded in some areas to curb level and a CoCoRaHS observer (a volunteer precipitation observation network) in that area reported 0.96” of rain. Meanwhile, just a couple of miles further west, the official reporting station at Scholes Field monitored but a trace of rain from the same event.

Comments (0)
Wednesday 08/06/2014
Crunch time for the Season and the Texas coast
Posted: August 06, 2014 - 4:03 pm

The period between Aug. 1 and Sept. 22 is usually the most active part of the hurricane season. How we fare during this crucial period often determines what kind of season we will have locally.

Comments (0)
Thursday 07/31/2014
A “cold” front and the Tropics
Posted: July 31, 2014 - 5:06 pm

This afternoon a cold front is pushing slowly through Central Texas and should move off the coast by sometime Friday. Although a cold front this time of year is somewhat unusual, do not get too excited. Any cooling from this frontal passage will be quite modest, with morning temperatures dipping only into the upper 70s near the coast and mid- to low 70s inland.

Comments (0)
Wednesday 07/23/2014
Persistent SAL impacting the Hurricane Season
Posted: July 23, 2014 - 4:19 pm

With Tropical Depression #2 weakening back into a tropical wave, systems in the Tropical Atlantic Basin continue to have a difficult time developing — not that I am complaining.

Comments (3)
Monday 07/14/2014
Rain likely this week over southeast Texas, but will Galveston County benefit?
Posted: July 14, 2014 - 5:11 pm

The elements are coming together for fairly decent rains over large parts of North and East Texas. Whether this will benefit Galveston County remains the big question.

Comments (2)
Monday 07/07/2014
Thoughts on Hurricane Arthur, the Hurricane Season and rain
Posted: July 07, 2014 - 4:27 pm

Hurricane Arthur may be typical of what we see this season with tropical systems. Given cooler than normal water in the Tropical Atlantic, dry air over the central Tropical Atlantic, high wind shear levels and a very slowly developing El Niño, many forecasters are saying that the greatest threat from tropical cyclones this year will be from what is colloquially called “home grown storms.”

Comments (0)
Monday 06/30/2014
Could Arthur spoil the Holiday Weekend in the Carolinas?
Updated: July 01, 2014 - 9:50 am

A slowly developing low pressure area  (AL 91) located 125 miles east of Melbourne, Fla., is being given an 80 percent of developing into a tropical depression or tropical storm during the coming 24 to 48 hours. Although the low is currently drifting in a southwest to westerly direction, it should turn northeast during the next couple of days and head towards the coasts of South Carolina and North Carolina.

Comments (0)
Thursday 06/26/2014
Current rainy spell may repeat in July
Updated: June 26, 2014 - 11:30 am

The current rainy spell has brought much needed precipitation to Galveston County (which largely missed out on the heavier rains north and west of Houston). Thunderstorms on Wednesday and Thursday delivered 1.13” of rain to Galveston and 0.91”  to League City. This still leaves both locations well below normal for June (and the year), with Galveston running 3.46” below normal for the month and League City 3,98” receiving less than would be expected by June 26.

Comments (0)
Thursday 06/19/2014
Looking to the Tropics for some rain
Posted: June 19, 2014 - 1:51 pm

This is the time of year when rain is less likely to be the result of mid-latitude events (cold fronts, low pressure troughs and so on) and more likely to appear as the result of tropical weather systems.

Comments (0)
Saturday 06/14/2014
A strange June chill and other topics
Posted: June 14, 2014 - 3:51 pm

Now that grumbling about heat and humidity has become the norm again, I thought that I would revisit what may be the strangest weather event ever for Galveston. This involves a sharp mid-June cold front on this date 111 years ago (June 14, 1903) that shattered the all-time cold weather records for the month.

Comments (19)
Monday 06/09/2014
Another chance for rain and the Tropics
Updated: June 09, 2014 - 12:02 pm

A weak cold front sagging southward over Texas and an upper-level trough and low moving into the southern Plains may bring some rain to the county over the next day or two. A storm complex and squall has reformed over North Texas this morning and could track south to the coast by later today or this evening.

Comments (0)
Monday 06/02/2014
May weather, rain and an early start to the Hurricane season?
Updated: June 02, 2014 - 10:20 am

The rains over the past week were definitely what the doctor ordered. The 3.32 inches of rain that fell in Galveston over the past five days of the month ended a dry spell that lasted much of April and May.

Comments (23)
Tuesday 05/27/2014
Special marine warning and flash flood watch issued for county
Posted: May 27, 2014 - 9:10 am

An upper-level low to the northwest and a moist, unstable atmosphere is contributing to shower and thunderstorm activity over southeast Texas this morning. This has resulted in a special marine warning for Galveston Bay and adjacent waters and a flash flood watch for the area.

Comments (0)
Saturday 05/24/2014
The myth of the “mild” hurricane season
Posted: May 24, 2014 - 4:13 pm

Most people have heard that the experts are predicting an average to below-average season in terms of named tropical systems. This consensus was reflected the other day by NOAA’s official forecast calling for a comparatively slow season in the Tropical Atlantic Basin, as a developing El Niño pattern suppresses activity in the Atlantic while enhancing it in the eastern Pacific.

Comments (1)
Tuesday 05/20/2014
Drought becoming a serious threat for Galveston County
Posted: May 20, 2014 - 12:16 pm

A very dry spring and an intermediate-term outlook that offer little hope for much precipitation is raising severe drought risk for Galveston County as we move towards summer.

Comments (4)
Wednesday 05/14/2014
Winter’s last gasp?
Updated: May 14, 2014 - 10:56 am

A number of people this spring mentioned how ready they were for summer after our long, chilly (by Galveston standards) winter. However, I also found some of these same people grumbling a couple days ago when warm, muggy weather hinted at our long, impending warm season.

Comments (0)
Friday 05/09/2014
A second chance at rain?
Updated: May 09, 2014 - 10:54 am

The latest system to roll through Texas failed again to bring any meaningful precipitation to Galveston County. With the long, hot days of summer looming, our chances for slipping into severe drought conditions are certainly on the high side.

Comments (8)
Friday 05/02/2014
A very dry April and an uncertain weather outlook for May
Posted: May 02, 2014 - 4:29 pm

April 2014 went into the record books as the third driest April ever for Galveston with only 0.10 inches of rain recorded. That brought total precipitation since January 1 to 4.97 inches of rain, 8.14 inches less than would be expected for the first four months of the year. League City fared a little better with 1.46 inches in April, but that was still less than half of normal for the month. League City has measured 6.35 inches of rain since Jan. 1, which is 7.58 inches less than would be expected.

Comments (3)
Thursday 04/24/2014
Rain a long shot for next few weeks
Updated: April 24, 2014 - 5:18 pm

The dry spell that has left Galveston with a 7.44-inch precipitation deficit since Jan. 1, and on the verge of the driest April since the drought of 2010, shows little sign of abating over the coming few weeks.

Comments (0)
Saturday 04/19/2014
Season forecasts and the coming hurricane season
Posted: April 19, 2014 - 4:11 pm

It may seem premature to talk about tropical weather with a long, chilly winter barely behind us and Hurricane Season a month and a half away. Still, the topic has been in the air among forecasters and emergency management specialists, with the National Tropical Weather Conference concluding in South Padre Island and the National Hurricane Conference in Orlando, Fla.

Comments (5)
Monday 04/14/2014
Strong cold front brings gale and wind advisories
Posted: April 14, 2014 - 9:01 am

A strong late season cold front will roar into Galveston County today, bringing strong, gusty winds, a winter-like chill and a threat of showers and thunderstorms.

Comments (0)
Thursday 04/10/2014
Rainfall remains elusive while drought increases in Central Texas
Posted: April 10, 2014 - 10:03 am

Rainfall has been elusive so far this month over Southeast Texas. Galveston has recorded but 0.04 of an inch through the first 10 days of the month — 10 percent of normal. League City has fared a little better with 0.46 of an inch for the month. But even that is less than half of what would be expected through April 10.

Comments (0)
Saturday 04/05/2014
Forecast models are looking bullish on rain
Updated: April 05, 2014 - 4:51 pm

With summer rapidly approaching, April tends to be a pivotal month in southeast Texas.

Comments (0)
Wednesday 04/02/2014
Predictions call for warmer-than-normal April
Updated: April 02, 2014 - 10:24 am

March brought the fifth consecutive month with below normal temperatures and below normal precipitation to the area.

Comments (4)
Friday 03/28/2014
Severe weather, an ideal weekend and a look ahead
Updated: March 28, 2014 - 5:03 pm

Severe weather is breaking out along a squall line in north-central Texas this afternoon. The good news is an upper-level cap (a layer of warm air aloft) may keep the severe weather north of Galveston County. This is particularly true along the coast, where cool, foggy conditions may keep temperatures below the threshold needed to “break the cap”.  Still, I will be watching the radar closely this evening.

Comments (2)
Monday 03/24/2014
Approaching system may complicate oil spill clean-up efforts
Updated: March 24, 2014 - 1:29 pm

An upper-level system expected to track east from Southern California to Texas, combined with a surface trough that may develop along the coast and/or a dry line advancing eastward across the region may complicate efforts to clean up an oil spill in Galveston Bay.

Comments (2)
Wednesday 03/19/2014
Spring is creeping in, but winter may be reluctant to go
Updated: March 19, 2014 - 10:48 am

Spring was definitely in the air yesterday, with sunny skies and mild temperatures in the afternoon after a cool start to the day. The long-term forecasts seem to indicate that we have finally turned the corner for good on winter. Still, there may be a few bumps in the road, before we can finally say goodbye to chilly weather.

Comments (0)
Saturday 03/15/2014
Mid-March notes and the chance for thunderstorms
Updated: March 15, 2014 - 12:09 pm

It will come as no surprise that the first half of March in Galveston County has been much cooler than normal, with average temperatures running near 6 degrees below normal at both Galveston and League City. At this rate, March, 2014 has a chance to go into the record books as one of the 10 coldest of record, locally. Based on the temperatures so far, and long-term forecasts, it seems unlikely, however, that this month end up anywhere near the top five coldest of record.

Comments (0)
Wednesday 03/12/2014
Breezy conditions a sign of spring
Posted: March 12, 2014 - 11:12 am

A touch of spring was definitely in the air yesterday with sunshine and mild temperatures. Accompanying the generally pleasant conditions were increasingly brisk breezes this afternoon. The breezes are as much a sign of spring as the sunshine and milder temperatures.

Comments (0)
Thursday 03/06/2014
Chilly surf for spring break and an interesting weather map
Posted: March 06, 2014 - 9:56 am

Spring breakers will encounter unusually chilly water if they try wading or swimming. The cold water is a direct effect of a prolonged period of below normal temperatures that appeared in November and stubbornly persisted into March. Ironically, while southeast Texas shivered during January, it was turned out to be the fourth warmest January of record for the globe. I guess we just got the “luck of the draw.”

Comments (3)
Monday 03/03/2014
Avocets leaving indicates a turn of the seasons
Updated: March 03, 2014 - 11:48 am

Early mornings may still have the bite of winter in the air, but spring has arrived; at least for the birds.

Comments (1)
More rain likely as wintry blast chills the area
Updated: March 03, 2014 - 11:17 am

The weather seems to be somewhat of a “good news, bad news” situation. The good news is that more rain is likely over the coming seven days, with another round of rain likely by early Tuesday. The bad news is that unseasonably cold weather has again settled into southeast Texas.

Comments (0)
Thursday 02/27/2014
Winter not quite finished yet
Posted: February 27, 2014 - 9:12 am

This latest cold spell has found a number of people wondering when spring will really appear.

Comments (2)
Monday 02/24/2014
Some rain likely, but weekend may be dry
Updated: February 24, 2014 - 11:39 am

Both Galveston and League City are well on their way to having a fourth consecutive month of below normal rainfall. With the latest Climate Prediction Center suggesting a drier than normal March through May, this is not good news for local gardeners.

Comments (0)
Monday 02/17/2014
This weekend’s weather and beyond
Posted: February 17, 2014 - 2:07 pm

The first weekend of Mardi Gras festivities kicks off on Friday night with a host of parades and parties. A number of people have been asking about what kind of weather is likely for the events this weekend.

Comments (0)
Wednesday 02/12/2014
Sunshine, fog and a somewhat milder trend
Posted: February 12, 2014 - 6:04 pm

Sunshine brought a fabulous end today to a dismal spell of cold, wet weather in Galveston County. The strange part is that even though a couple of cold fronts may reach the area during the coming seven days, temperatures during this period will be much more moderate than we have seen of late.

Comments (0)
Monday 02/10/2014
Winter to return, but maybe not for long
Updated: February 10, 2014 - 11:11 am

Milder conditions eased back into southeast Texas with temperatures Sunday creeping back into the mid- to upper 60s. So far this month, temperatures have averaged more than 7.5 degrees below normal.

Comments (0)